Posted 20 February 2012 - 07:55 PM
If the Germans had captured Paris in 1914, what would have happened afterwards?
You can pick any theory you like or make up your own - the options are only limited by the human imagination. Anyone can pontificate any theory based on Whatif questions; from the sublime to the ridiculous can be openly spouted by the fantasist to the serious-minded to the extremist, all secure in the knowledge that anything they say, even the most wildest of theories, can never be definitely disproved. Don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to stop this thread in its tracks, as a writer of fiction I'm all in favour of imaginative, creative thinking and story-telling - but when it comes to historical fiction, the kind of fiction that revolves around past, extremely important, world events then I believe that any story-telling should revolve around the known facts.
And as far as I can see, the know facts about this subject matter are simple, clear, and hard to ignore i.e.
1) In 1914, the Germans nearly captured Paris, but didn't - they were stopped a few miles short then pushed back some of the way they came, and were ultimately defeated several years later.
2) In 1918, the Germans nearly captured Paris, but didn't - they were stopped a few miles short then pushed back the way they came, and were ultimately defeated several months later.
3) In 1940, the Germans actually captured Paris - the war did not end (even after the whole of France fell several weeks later), and Germany was ultimately defeated several years later.
It seems to me that Germany and its Army (when involved in total-war, not the limited Franco-Prussian variety) had a knack of losing even when capturing Paris and the whole of France. So, I would argue that even if von Kluck and von Bulow had captured Paris in 1914 then Germany would still have lost the war.
Now, I do realise that there will be plenty of smart-alecs who will scream that's much too simple a premise e.g. if Paris had fallen in 1914 then this would have happened and that would happened bla, bla, bla and even more bla (there'll be a myriad of examples). But it will be impossible, no matter how much blather is offered, for them to disprove my premise (just as much as it will be impossible for me to actually prove it).
PS. No, I won't post on this thread again (no matter what cock-eyed theory is proffered) - historical Whatifs do my 'ead in.